No. 10 Indiana travels to No. 3 Ohio State on Saturday (midday, FOX) in a sport that ought to determine the Huge Ten East Division.
Who did not have that prediction written down in 2020?
The Hoosiers (4-0) have emerged as media darling below coach Tom Allen after beating Penn State, Michigan and Michigan State within the first 4 weeks of the season. Michael Penix Jr. leads the Huge Ten in passing yards, and the Hoosiers will attempt to break a 25-game shedding streak to the Buckeyes (3-0).
It will not be simple. Second-year coach Ryan Day has but to lose a Huge Ten sport, and Heisman Trophy front-runner Justin Fields leads the convention with 11 touchdowns and an 86.7 completion proportion. Ohio State is a three-TD favourite in a top-10 showdown.
It is the most important Faculty Soccer Playoff piece for the convention at this level. With that in thoughts, here is a more in-depth take a look at Saturday’s showdown.
Indiana vs. Ohio State odds
- Unfold: Ohio State -20.5
- Over/below: 64.5
- Level unfold odds: Indiana –110, Ohio State -110
The Buckeyes opened as a 21-point favourite, however the line knocked down a half-point this week. That is giving the Hoosiers a bit respect in a rivalry the place they have not had a lot success.
Indiana vs. Ohio State all-time collection
Ohio State leads the all-time collection in opposition to Indiana 76-9-4. The Buckeyes have received 25 straight video games on the sector in opposition to the Hoosiers, although the 2010 contest was later vacated.
Indiana has not beat the Buckeyes since a 41-7 blowout on Oct. 8, 1988.
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Three developments to know
— The Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS this season and 8-3 ATS as a house favourite below Day. It’s nonetheless a big unfold contemplating that each groups are within the high 10.
— Indiana is 0-3 S/U in opposition to the Buckeyes below Allen. The Hoosiers have misplaced these three conferences by a mean of 30.7 factors.
— The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS this season, and that features covers as underdogs in opposition to Penn State and Michigan. Each of these video games had been at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Ind. Indiana has not received at Ohio Stadium since 1987.
Three issues to observe
— Michael Penix Jr. and Justin Fields. These are the 2 greatest quarterbacks within the Huge Ten this season, and it is an opportunity for Penix to show it on the street. He averages 267.5 passing yards per sport, and the Buckeyes do enable 9.9 yards per completion. Favourite goal Ty Fryfogle averages 17.7 yards per catch and can take a look at Ohio State’s secondary, led by All-American cornerback Shaun Wade. Fields is working with the 1-2 tandem of Garrett Wilson (344 yards, 2 TDs) and Chris Olave (288 yards, 4 TDs).
— Indiana’s strain protection. The Hoosiers common three sacks per sport, and the Buckeyes have allowed seven sacks in three video games. Can Indiana do sufficient to get Fields into third-and-longs — and can that matter? Ohio State has been in a position to convert 58.3 % of its third-down alternatives this season.
— Operating sport. Huge Ten soccer continues to be predicated on the working sport, and the Hoosiers have allowed simply 111.0 dashing yards per sport. If they’ll decelerate Grasp Teague and Trey Sermon, then they’ll have an opportunity. However that is provided that the Hoosiers can generate greater than 3.5 yards per keep on the opposite facet. Indiana can not enable Ohio State’s go rushers — particularly Tommy Togiai and Haskell Garrett on the inside — to dictate the sport.
Stat that issues
That is Ohio State’s file in opposition to ranked Huge Ten opponents since Day joined the Ohio State workers as an offensive coordinator in 2017. The Buckeyes have received these 12 video games by a mean rating of 39.5-20.4. Ohio State was 5-0 in that state of affairs with Day as head coach final 12 months, and that common rating was 39.8-18.2.
Indiana needs to be fired up. It is a great alternative for this system, and it will not be a shock if Penix Jr. leads an early scoring drive that places the Hoosiers forward. In every of the previous three conferences, the rating has been 7-3 after one quarter. The Buckeyes, like in these previous three conferences, will take management from there. Fields will throw a number of first-half TDs, and a pair of turnovers within the second half will spring-load one other convincing victory for the three-time defending Huge Ten champions.
Ohio State 45, Indiana 21