Sen. Alessandra Biaggi or one other state legislator
Why they’ll win: Democrats have a particularly deep bench within the state Legislature. Dozens of their 150 members are extra viable than state Sen. George Pataki was 20 months earlier than the 1994 election, when he beat Mario Cuomo, and it’s definitely potential that some surprising rank-and-file member will launch a severe marketing campaign.
The 2 legislators who’re talked about most frequently are Biaggi and state Sen. Jessica Ramos. Each are a part of the younger freshman class that helped their occasion take an operative majority of their chamber in 2018. And each would have a very good likelihood at successful the assist of the Ocasio-Cortez wing of the occasion. Biaggi has already been performing like a major candidate, spending latest weeks on the forefront of opposition to the Cuomo administration.
One wild card: Senate Majority Chief Andrea Stewart-Cousins, the highest-ranking lawmaker within the state Senate. No person would have a greater likelihood at clearing the room with a marketing campaign declaration than Stewart-Cousins, whose tenure main the traditionally factional Democratic convention has been met with rave opinions from moderates and socialists alike.
Why they’ll’t win: Pataki was in a position to win by latching onto then-Sen. Al D’Amato’s statewide marketing campaign equipment. There are some teams with a statewide presence with whom candidates like Biaggi or Ramos can ally — most prominently, the Working Households Occasion. However their main successes in recent times have are available legislative or congressional campaigns, and so they’ve but to show they are often the decisive think about a statewide race.
Candidates can, in fact, construct their very own networks. However notably for individuals who have minimal title recognition outdoors of a district that represents lower than 2 % of the state, that’s the kind of organizing they would want to get began on very quickly.
As for Stewart-Cousins, the most important impediment standing in her method is that she’s by no means given the slightest trace that she’s focused on statewide workplace.
Ithaca Mayor Svante Myrick
Why he can win: Myrick may be in a novel place. At 33, he’s already been the main focus of quite a few effusive nationwide profiles for matters like his latest efforts to enact essentially the most sweeping police reforms within the nation, and he would have nearly as good an opportunity as anyone to win over the newly energized younger leftists.
In contrast to different progressive candidates who’re equally well-positioned, his tenure because the mayor of an upstate metropolis — albeit a small and atypical one — would put him much less susceptible to laying an egg north of Yonkers.
Why he can’t win: Whereas he would possibly be capable of keep away from the assaults that he’s a “New York Metropolis socialist,” he’s nonetheless fairly far to the left. Democrats might need shifted in that route in recent times, however there’s nonetheless not quite a lot of proof that positions like defunding the police and establishing heroin injection websites will win over voters in Hempstead.